For 40 years, Brazil has witnessed the emergence of diseases transmitted by the mosquito Aedes aegypti: DENV-1 (1986), DENV-2 (1991), DENV-3 (2001), DENV-4 (2010), Chikungunya (2014), and Zika (2015), with severe human and economic costs. Viruses at risk of emergence are Nhong-nhong, Mayaro, and Oropouche. Misdiagnosis is common, and emergence of new viruses can go largely unnoticed. New tools are needed to increase the precision of arbovirus surveillance and control in preparation for climate change. Mosqlimate is a multi-disease tool with two main goals:

1. estimate probabilities of change in pattern of disease transmission in response to climate and land use changes;
2. identify circulating viruses during outbreaks when information is incomplete.

FGV School of Applied Mathematics (EMAP)

Researchers: Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho and Flávio Codeço Coelho

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