The coordinator of the Center for Agribusiness Studies of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV Agro), Guilherme Bastos, took part on March 17 in a debate promoted by Instituto Equilíbrio, in Brasília (DF). The event brought together experts and leaders to discuss the challenges and opportunities of the carbon market, with a focus on regulation and financing for the transition to a low-carbon economy in Brazilian agribusiness.
Aimed at a strategic audience, the meeting fostered dialogue on regulatory pathways, financial instruments, and institutional arrangements capable of strengthening the competitiveness of the national agricultural sector and positioning Brazil in a distinctive way within the context of the new global economy.
During his presentation, Bastos highlighted the economic, environmental, and climate impacts associated with the adoption of technologies under the ABC+ Plan (Low-Carbon Agriculture), based on modeling developed by FGV Agro. “The transition to low-carbon agriculture is not only technically feasible, but also represents a strategic economic opportunity for the country,” he emphasized.
The results presented indicate that the integrated adoption of ABC+ technologies by 2030 could generate an additional R$ 532.8 billion in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with a positive impact of 4.5% compared to the reference scenario, as well as the creation of approximately 951,000 new jobs in the agricultural sector.
From an environmental perspective, the scenario analyzed points to the mitigation of 132.4 million tons of CO₂ equivalent, corresponding to about 15% of Brazil’s emissions reduction target, in addition to the avoidance of deforestation across 15.2 million hectares.
Another point highlighted was the economic efficiency of the climate agenda in agribusiness. According to FGV Agro’s analysis, every real invested in ABC+ technologies can generate an average return of R$ 7.6.
“Our results show that sustainability and competitiveness go hand in hand. Technologies such as bio-inputs, pasture restoration, integrated production systems, and biofuels are essential to expanding economic and environmental gains,” he explained.
By linking these results to the debate on the carbon market, Bastos emphasized that well-structured financial instruments and a clear regulatory framework are essential to enabling long-term investments, reducing risks, and creating appropriate incentives for rural producers.
“In this context, the carbon market emerges as a relevant mechanism to internalize environmental benefits, expand access to credit, and accelerate the adoption of sustainable practices in the countryside,” he stressed.